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The
Hispanic and Asian-American populations in the United States are
expected to triple by 2050, when non-Hispanic whites would account
for the barest majority, according to a Census Bureau report to
be released Thursday.
Hispanic-Americans would make up nearly a quarter of the nation's
population at mid-century, the report says.
"This is going to be the workforce that sustains us as a
nation, so we can make choices today that are dramatically going
to change the outlook 20 or 30 years from now," Sonia Perez
of the National Council of La Raza said Wednesday, referring to
coming national elections.
The number of Hispanic-Americans should rise to nearly 103 million
from about 36 million, and their share of the population would
nearly double, to 24.4 percent from 12.6 percent, the bureau report
says.
Asian-Americans, who now make up 3.8 percent of the populace,
would represent 8 percent by mid-century, it says. Their numbers
would increase to more than 33 million from nearly 11 million.
The American population over all should also continue to grow,
to about 420 million in 2050 from 282 million in 2000, the report
says. But non-Hispanic whites would add only moderately to their
numbers, to 210 million from 196 million. They would make up just
50.1 percent of the population in 2050, compared with 69.4 percent
four years ago, when the last census was taken.
The black population is projected to rise to 61 million from 36
million, raising its share of the total population to 14.6 percent
from 12.7 percent.
The American population will be generally older, with child-bearing
rates remaining low as those born between 1946 and 1964, the baby
boom generation, begin to turn 65 in 2011. By 2030, about one
American in five will be 65 or older.
As the baby-boom generation moves toward retirement and seeks
payments from Social Security, the largest source of new workers
will be young Hispanics, said Roberto Suro of the Pew Hispanic
Center.
"Financing the old age of the baby boomers would be more
difficult without a growing Hispanic population," Mr. Suro
said.
Over all in the United States, women will continue to outnumber
men, with 6.9 million more women than men in 2050, compared with
5.3 million more in 2000.
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